Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Sion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Artsakh are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FC Sion are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sion hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while FC Sion holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Sion
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
12.2%
FC Sion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00