Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Noah are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FC Astana are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 62.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
12.8%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00