FC Minskvs
Torpedo Zhodino
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Zhodino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Minsk 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino
Original prediction
Torpedo Zhodino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.5% | 32.0% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.4% | 28.7% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 34.1% | 39.3% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Zhodino
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Torpedo Zhodino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60