FC Minskvs
Slavia Mozyr
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 9/11/2026, 5:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Minsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Minsk 1-0 Slavia Mozyr
Original prediction
FC Minsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 35.2% | 42.7% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.4% | 28.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 34.4% | 29.1% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
FC Minsk
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
FC Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40