GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 3/17/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Minsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Minsk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Slavia Mozyr are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Minsk hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Premier League, while FC Minsk holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Minsk

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

FC Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC MinskDDLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Slavia MozyrLDLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC MinskSlavia Mozyr
47.9Attack39.2
56.3Defence54.9
52.1Form41.2
53.3Power47.0
1.42xG0.92
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