Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Minsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
FC Minsk are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Niva are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Minsk hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Minsk holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Minsk
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
FC Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20