Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
FC Minsk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Neman are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Minsk hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 49.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20