Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Minsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
FC Minsk are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Naftan are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Minsk hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 30.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Premier League, while FC Minsk holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Minsk
Probability
71.3%
Model confidence
13.0%
FC Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60