Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
FC Minsk are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Gomel are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gomel hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60