Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Minsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
FC Minsk are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Belshina are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Minsk hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 31.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Premier League, while FC Minsk holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Minsk
Probability
71.3%
Model confidence
14.4%
FC Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60