GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 4/8/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Minsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

FC Minsk are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bate Borisov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Minsk hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Premier League, while FC Minsk holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Minsk

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

FC Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC MinskDWDDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Bate BorisovDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC MinskBate Borisov
47.9Attack21.4
56.3Defence59.5
52.1Form21.4
53.3Power36.0
1.32xG0.57
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