FC Midtjyllandvs
Sturm Graz
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/24/2025, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Midtjylland · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FC Midtjylland are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sturm Graz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturm Graz hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while FC Midtjylland holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Midtjylland
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40