FC Midtjyllandvs
St. Truiden
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Midtjylland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Midtjylland 0-1 St. Truiden
Original prediction
FC Midtjylland
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 55.8% | 48.9% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 23.6% | 25.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.56 | 20.5% | 25.3% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Midtjylland
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80