GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 2/13/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Sociedad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Midtjylland are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Real Sociedad are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Sociedad hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Sociedad holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Sociedad

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

Real Sociedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC MidtjyllandWDWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real SociedadWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC MidtjyllandReal Sociedad
0.0Attack61.1
50.0Defence52.8
0.0Form55.6
21.5Power57.0
1.21xG1.83
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