GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/19/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nottingham Forest · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Midtjylland are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nottingham Forest are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Nottingham Forest holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nottingham Forest

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Nottingham Forest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC MidtjyllandLWDDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Nottingham ForestDLDLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC MidtjyllandNottingham Forest
0.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence66.7
0.0Form56.3
21.5Power57.9
0.85xG1.50
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