FC Midtjyllandvs
Lyngby
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Midtjylland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Midtjylland 3-2 Lyngby
Original prediction
FC Midtjylland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 65.5% | 68.6% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.82 | 19.3% | 17.4% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 6.09 | 15.3% | 14.0% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Midtjylland
Probability
68.6%
Model confidence
68.6%
FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40