FC Midtjyllandvs
HNK Rijeka
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Midtjylland · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FC Midtjylland are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while HNK Rijeka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Midtjylland hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 73.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while FC Midtjylland holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Midtjylland
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
13.7%
FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40