FC Midtjyllandvs
Genk
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/11/2025, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Midtjylland · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FC Midtjylland are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Genk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Genk hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while FC Midtjylland holds the strongest overall chance at 33% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Midtjylland
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
33.5%
FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40