FC Midtjyllandvs
Fredrikstad
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/14/2025, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Midtjylland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Midtjylland are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fredrikstad are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Midtjylland hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while FC Midtjylland holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Midtjylland
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40