GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/30/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fenerbahçe · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Midtjylland are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 30.1-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Fenerbahçe holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fenerbahçe

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC MidtjyllandWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FenerbahçeWDWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC MidtjyllandFenerbahçe
0.0Attack47.2
50.0Defence55.6
0.0Form47.2
21.5Power51.6
1.15xG1.40
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