FC Midtjyllandvs
FC Nordsjaelland
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 9/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Midtjylland · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Midtjylland 2-2 FC Nordsjaelland
Original prediction
FC Midtjylland
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 48.7% | 43.4% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 25.1% | 27.3% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 26.1% | 29.3% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
FC Midtjylland
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00