FC Midtjyllandvs
FC Copenhagen
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Copenhagen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Midtjylland 2-1 FC Copenhagen
Original prediction
FC Copenhagen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 37.3% | 32.4% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 26.1% | 26.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 36.6% | 41.3% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Copenhagen
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
FC Copenhagen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40