GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/6/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Midtjylland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Midtjylland are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Celtic are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Celtic hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while FC Midtjylland holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Midtjylland

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC MidtjyllandDWWWW

GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
CelticWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC MidtjyllandCeltic
0.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence36.7
0.0Form46.7
21.5Power46.6
1.66xG1.46
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