FC Midtjyllandvs
Brondby
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Midtjylland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Midtjylland 4-1 Brondby
Original prediction
FC Midtjylland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 51.5% | 49.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 25.0% | 25.2% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.96 | 23.6% | 25.4% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Midtjylland
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80