SuperligaSuperliga
Sunday, 17 May 2026Last updated 10:01
FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland

Home
W
20
Full time
Brondby

Brondby

Away
W
MCH Arena
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
FC Midtjylland(44%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Brondby
Win probability
FC Midtjylland
44%
Draw
26%
Brondby
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FC Midtjylland
99
Brondby
100
Defence
FC Midtjylland
66
Brondby
66
Momentum
FC Midtjylland
100
Brondby
100
Danger (xG)
FC Midtjylland
3.60
Brondby
7.20
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (FC Midtjylland)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (Brondby)
7.20
avg per match
xG against (FC Midtjylland)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Brondby)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
WDLDD
BrondbyBrondby
WW

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
FC Midtjylland44%
Draw26%
Brondby30%

FC Midtjylland leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

FC Midtjylland head into this in Superliga fixture at MCH Arena in mixed form (W), while Brondby arrive in mixed form (W). FC Midtjylland have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Brondby over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — FC Midtjylland (66/100) and Brondby (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

FC Midtjylland have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Brondby have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

FC Midtjylland have generated 1.34 xG per game recently while conceding 2.25 xG per match. Brondby have generated 2.09 xG per game recently while conceding 1.95 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Brondby have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects FC Midtjylland to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: FC Midtjylland 4430%, Draw 2580%, Brondby 2990%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

FC Midtjylland 0Draws 01 Brondby
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
17 May 2026
FC Midtjylland
L23
Brondby
xG 1.92.1

Recent form

FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland

W
vs Odense
17 Jul 2026
41
D
@ Malmo FF
26 Jun 2026
22
L
vs Brondby
17 May 2026
23
xG 1.9
D
@ FC Copenhagen
14 May 2026
00
D
@ FC Nordsjaelland
10 May 2026
00
xG 0.7
Brondby

Brondby

W
vs Hvidovre
28 Jun 2026
81
W
@ FC Midtjylland
17 May 2026
32
xG 2.1

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Brondby?

GoalVio's model predicts FC Midtjylland to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FC Midtjylland vs Brondby?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in FC Midtjylland vs Brondby?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Midtjylland vs Brondby?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more