GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/25/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Midtjylland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Midtjylland are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while 1899 Hoffenheim are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and 1899 Hoffenheim hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while FC Midtjylland holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Midtjylland

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC MidtjyllandDWWWL

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
1899 HoffenheimLLLWD

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FC Midtjylland1899 Hoffenheim
0.0Attack45.8
50.0Defence41.7
0.0Form37.5
21.5Power43.9
1.50xG1.34
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