GGOALVIO

1. FC Magdeburg logo1. FC MagdeburgvsHolstein Kiel logoHolstein Kiel

SCHEDULED

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/30/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Holstein Kiel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

1. FC Magdeburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Holstein Kiel are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Holstein Kiel hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the 2. Bundesliga, while Holstein Kiel holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Holstein Kiel

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

11.4%

Holstein Kiel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

1. FC MagdeburgWLDWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Holstein KielDDLLD

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
1. FC MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
33.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
15.3Power45.3
1.53xG1.71
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