GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Super League · 7/30/2023, 12:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Luzern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Luzern are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (23.1 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Super League, while FC Luzern holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Luzern

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

FC Luzern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC LuzernWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Stade Lausanne-OuchyLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FC LuzernStade Lausanne-Ouchy
33.3Attack35.1
11.1Defence32.5
11.1Form25.4
23.1Power33.8
1.96xG1.23
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