FC Luzernvs
Grasshoppers
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Luzern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Luzern 5-1 Grasshoppers
Original prediction
FC Luzern
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 55.8% | 51.2% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.6% | 20.1% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.09 | 22.6% | 28.6% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Luzern
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
FC Luzern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40