FC Luganovs
Union St. Gilloise
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/31/2023, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FC Lugano are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union St. Gilloise are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20