FC Luganovs
Maccabi Tel Aviv
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Lugano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Lugano are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Maccabi Tel Aviv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lugano hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while FC Lugano holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Lugano
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
10.6%
FC Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00