GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Lugano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Lugano 2-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv

Original prediction

FC Lugano

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

FC Lugano

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

FC Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC LuganoWDWWW

GF 23 · GA 4 · avg 4.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Maccabi Tel AvivWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FC LuganoMaccabi Tel Aviv
83.3Attack73.8
75.0Defence54.8
83.3Form76.2
80.0Power68.4
1.85xG1.58
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