GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/15/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Lugano · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Lugano are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FK Partizan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Partizan hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while FC Lugano holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Lugano

Probability

35.1%

Model confidence

35.1%

FC Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC LuganoLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FK PartizanDLWLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
FC LuganoFK Partizan
0.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence50.0
0.0Form16.7
21.5Power36.5
1.34xG1.28
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