Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Lugano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Lugano 5-0 FC Zurich
Original prediction
FC Lugano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Lugano
Probability
68.7%
Model confidence
68.7%
FC Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC LuganoWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC ZurichWLLLL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FC LuganoFC Zurich
100.0Attack33.3
77.8Defence11.1
100.0Form33.3
91.2Power29.5
2.84xG0.97