GGOALVIO

FC Lugano logoFC LuganovsFC ST. Gallen logoFC ST. Gallen

COMPLETED

Switzerland · Super League · 7/29/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Lugano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Lugano are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC ST. Gallen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lugano hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (91.2 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the Super League, while FC Lugano holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Lugano

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

52.9%

FC Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC LuganoWDWDW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC ST. GallenLWWLW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC LuganoFC ST. Gallen
100.0Attack77.8
77.8Defence44.4
100.0Form77.8
91.2Power70.7
2.22xG1.37
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