GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/24/2025, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FC Lugano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while CFR 1907 Cluj are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CFR 1907 Cluj hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC LuganoWDDLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CFR 1907 ClujDWWDD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC LuganoCFR 1907 Cluj
0.0Attack27.8
50.0Defence77.8
0.0Form44.4
21.5Power51.0
0.92xG1.07
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