Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Lisse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Lisse are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while TOGB are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Lisse holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Lisse
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
FC Lisse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67