GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 8/26/2023, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Excelsior Maassluis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

FC Lisse are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Excelsior Maassluis are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Excelsior Maassluis hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the Tweede Divisie, while Excelsior Maassluis holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Excelsior Maassluis

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

Excelsior Maassluis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC LisseLWWL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.75

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
Excelsior MaassluisLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.67/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
FC LisseExcelsior Maassluis
34.3Attack45.8
17.6Defence45.0
18.6Form38.3
26.8Power43.9
1.18xG2.22
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