Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 14:55
FC Liefering

FC Liefering

Home
W
20
Full time
SV Wehen

SV Wehen

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

FC Liefering36%
Draw35%
SV Wehen29%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
FC Liefering
36%
Draw
35%
SV Wehen
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FC Liefering
34
SV Wehen
73
Defence
FC Liefering
91
SV Wehen
91
Momentum
FC Liefering
100
SV Wehen
100
Danger (xG)
FC Liefering
0.90
SV Wehen
1.80
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 2.47 xG for FC Liefering and 0.63 xG for SV Wehen. SV Wehen's projected xG of 0.63 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.FC Liefering's Defensive Stability Score (91) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (73). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.10 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — FC Liefering's Defensive Stability (91) and SV Wehen's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (FC Liefering)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (SV Wehen)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (FC Liefering)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (SV Wehen)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FC LieferingFC Liefering
W
SV WehenSV Wehen
WW

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
FC Liefering36%
Draw35%
SV Wehen29%

FC Liefering leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

FC Liefering Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

FC Liefering host SV Wehen in Friendlies Clubs. FC Liefering have recorded WWWWWL in recent matches while SV Wehen arrive with a run of LWWWLW. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.47 for FC Liefering and 0.63 for SV Wehen. The gap of 1.84 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 5 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

FC Liefering

FC Liefering

W
@ Austria Klagenfurt
14 May 2026
10
SV Wehen

SV Wehen

W
vs Fagiano Okayama
14 Jul 2026
20
W
vs Hoffenheim II
16 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FC Liefering vs SV Wehen?

GoalVio's model predicts FC Liefering to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FC Liefering vs SV Wehen?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in FC Liefering vs SV Wehen?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Liefering vs SV Wehen?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more