FC Lieferingvs
SKN ST. Polten
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 9/13/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Liefering · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Liefering 1-3 SKN ST. Polten
Original prediction
FC Liefering
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.07 | 29.9% | 43.4% | 13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.9% | 26.0% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 45.1% | 30.6% | -14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Liefering
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
FC Liefering has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20