FC Lieferingvs
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 10/24/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Liefering · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Liefering 2-2 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Original prediction
FC Liefering
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.7% | 43.8% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.3% | 23.2% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 36.0% | 33.0% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
FC Liefering
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
FC Liefering has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20