FC Levadia Tallinnvs
Vaprus
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/12/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Levadia Tallinn · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (14%), 4-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Levadia Tallinn 4-0 Vaprus
Original prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 81.0% | 87.0% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 7.40 | 12.2% | 8.9% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 13.34 | 6.8% | 4.1% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–014%
- 2.4–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
FC Levadia Tallinn
Probability
87.0%
Model confidence
87.0%
FC Levadia Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80