GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 3/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Levadia Tallinn · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

FC Levadia Tallinn are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Vaprus are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Levadia Tallinn hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.3% in the Meistriliiga, while FC Levadia Tallinn holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Levadia Tallinn

Probability

86.3%

Model confidence

86.3%

FC Levadia Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Levadia TallinnDLLDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
VaprusLLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
FC Levadia TallinnVaprus
87.3Attack46.0
73.0Defence38.1
79.4Form42.9
77.9Power43.7
3.58xG0.62
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