FC Levadia Tallinnvs
Paide
COMPLETEDEstonia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Levadia Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Levadia Tallinn 4-1 Paide
Original prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.1% | 48.9% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.3% | 21.0% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.84 | 18.6% | 30.1% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
FC Levadia Tallinn
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
FC Levadia Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60