FC Levadia Tallinnvs
Paide
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Levadia Tallinn · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Levadia Tallinn 1-0 Paide
Original prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.1% | 64.7% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 20.9% | 20.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 5.99 | 14.9% | 15.1% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
FC Levadia Tallinn
Probability
64.7%
Model confidence
64.7%
FC Levadia Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 25 · GA 1 · avg 5.00/0.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00