GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Levadia Tallinn · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Levadia Tallinn 2-1 Laagri

Original prediction

FC Levadia Tallinn

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2273.7%76.0%2.4 pts
Draw5.4716.5%14.8%-1.6 pts
Away9.139.9%9.1%-0.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–013%
  2. 2.3–012%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

FC Levadia Tallinn

Probability

76.0%

Model confidence

76.0%

FC Levadia Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Levadia TallinnWWWWD

GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LaagriWWWWW

GF 18 · GA 1 · avg 3.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC Levadia TallinnLaagri
90.6Attack48.5
77.1Defence51.5
84.4Form47.5
81.9Power50.3
2.79xG0.66
View match centre →