FC Levadia Tallinnvs
Kuressaare
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Levadia Tallinn · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (15%), 2-0 (14%), 4-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Levadia Tallinn 4-0 Kuressaare
Original prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 81.6% | 86.1% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 7.42 | 12.2% | 9.8% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 14.62 | 6.2% | 4.0% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–015%
- 2.2–014%
- 3.4–012%
Predicted outcome
FC Levadia Tallinn
Probability
86.1%
Model confidence
86.1%
FC Levadia Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20