GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 4/2/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Levadia Tallinn · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

FC Levadia Tallinn are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kuressaare are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Levadia Tallinn hold a 38.1-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.7% in the Meistriliiga, while FC Levadia Tallinn holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Levadia Tallinn

Probability

86.7%

Model confidence

86.7%

FC Levadia Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Levadia TallinnWWDDL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
KuressaareLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC Levadia TallinnKuressaare
87.3Attack33.3
73.0Defence45.5
79.4Form31.8
77.9Power39.8
3.20xG0.44
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