Meistriliiga
FC Levadia Tallinn
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Flora Tallinn
AwayThe model projects 1.59 xG for FC Levadia Tallinn and 1.23 xG for Flora Tallinn — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.36), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. FC Levadia Tallinn's Attack Score (94) exceeds Flora Tallinn's Defensive Stability (66), and Flora Tallinn's attack (73) similarly tests FC Levadia Tallinn's defence (66). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.82 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. The xG distribution places the most weight on scorelines that clear 2.5, though the margin above the threshold is not large.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. FC Levadia Tallinn's Attack Score (94) vs Flora Tallinn's Defensive Stability (66) and Flora Tallinn's attack (73) vs FC Levadia Tallinn's defence (66) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesFC Levadia TallinnFlora TallinnProbability breakdown
FC Levadia Tallinn leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
FC Levadia Tallinn Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1
FC Levadia Tallinn take on Flora Tallinn in Meistriliiga.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
FC Levadia Tallinn are generating a consistent xG advantage — 1.59 projected against 1.23 for Flora Tallinn. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.36 is the clearest signal in the model that FC Levadia Tallinn are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: Flora Tallinn have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If Flora Tallinn carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.
Risk factors
- ⚠Flora Tallinn are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
- ⚠The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 5 of the last 10 meetings.
- ⚠The xG gap is narrow at 0.36 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
Head to head
Recent form
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn?
GoalVio's model predicts FC Levadia Tallinn to win with 56% confidence.
What is the predicted score for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.