Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lahti are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while KuPS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 69.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
18.1%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00