Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lahti are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while JIPPO are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (79.8 v 74.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80